Monday, March 8, 2010

CCB (2925) - A High Dividend Stock?

Company Background
Cycle & Carriage Bintang Berhad (CCB) is a main dealer of Mercedes-Benz. CCB used to be the exclusive Mercedes-Benz distributor. However, in year 2003 CCB ceased to be the exclusive distributor, and acquired 49% of DaimlerChrysler Malaysia (the new distributor for Mercedes-Benz in Malaysia, now known as Mercedes-Benz Malaysia Sdn Bhd (MBM)).

Dividend History
Dividend records in past 5 years from 2005-2009:


The total dividends per share given out in financial year 2006, 2008 and 2009 were RM2.13, RM1.45 and RM1.30 respectively. It is a lot and very impressive, isn't it??!! Total dividend of RM1.30 in FY2009 is translated to dividend yield of 30%++ based on current share price around RM4.30, which is way a lot more attractive than return from FD (merely 2-3%).

But.... wait.... the company only gave 15 sen and 10 sen of dividend in year 2005 and 2007. What had happened in 2006, 2008 and 2009 for the company to afford such a generous dividend payout? Lets delve into the financial data to find out the answer


Financial Data
EarningsFrom the yearly financial data above, the core business of CCB is not really profitable with very thin gross margin. In fact the company's earning have been supported mainly by incomes from investments such as dividend & sales incentives from MBM, and disposal of quoted securities/assets.

The following are some items that contributed significantly to the company's earnings:

1) FY2006 Quarter 4 -net gain of RM40million on disposal of six properties in Petaling Jaya, Selangor
2) FY2008 Quarter 2 - received premium of Rm18.7million from MBM

Besides, under the terms of agreement due to investment in MBM, CCB have been receiving net dividend of RM11million from MBM per annum. However, it is noted that this entitlement for dividend of RM11million is until December 2012. Thereafter there will be net dividend amount will be reviewed.

Price per Earning (PER)
Earning per share (EPS) is 27.92 sen for FY2009, this is translated to PER 15 at current share price of RM4.30. This is rather expensive given that the revenue does not grow over past few years.


Revenue Reserve
As of 4th quarter of FY2009, the reserve is about RM33million. In order to distribute more than RM1.00 of special dividend, the company would require more than RM100 million of reserve.


Dividend Prospect

At current level of reserve, it is insufficient for CCB to give special dividend of more than RM1/share for FY2009, unless there are more gains on disposal of valuable assets/properties.

Too high a hope may result in greater disappointments, the share price might go downhill once public realise CCB is no longer able to give generous special dividend.



Is CCB A High Dividend Stock?
I remember I have read an article which said that in order to be categorized as high dividend stock, a stock must meet the following criterias:

1. Dividend must be sustain or growth every year.
2. Dividend must be paid by company consistently for the past 10 years, 15 years or more.

3. Dividend paid out must be coming from the profits from core business. Not coming from selling of others assets.

4. Dividend paid out must not be coming from debts or loans.
5. Dividend yield at least 2 folds of current FD rate.


For CCB, it does not meet (2) and (3). Margin of core business is very thin. Source of income are from investment in MBM and disposal of properties/assets. Therefore, in my personal opinion, CCB is never a high dividend stock.

Note: The above opinion is not an invitation to buy or sell. It only serves as a blogging activity of my investment analysis and research.

My Rules of Investment

It has been almost a year since I purchased my first ever share (HSL 6238) in Bursa Malaysia. In the past one year I have gone through super bull period as well as few minor corrections, and of course I did enjoy some gains as well as suffer from some losses in the share market. I have made some stupid mistakes in investment. Nevertheless, I'm rather grateful that the mistakes happened in early stage of my investment adventure. I should really learn from past mistakes in order to do better in future.

I have set myself few rules of investment based on experience gained thus far:

1) Never buy into rumors - very frequently on stock forum you can see people spreading rumors that certain shares will be 'goreng'. Do not listen to rumors, rumors are normally spread by those who stuck at high price who try to unload/cut loss.

2) Invest in shares with strong fundamental - must do homework before buying a particular share. Doing fundamental analysis is a must in order to find out if a company is worth to invest. The few things to consider when assessing a particular company include past earning record, price per earning (PER), earning growth, return on equity (ROE), gearing, cash flow etc. Comparing with competitors to determine if the company is overvalued/undervalued. Besides, it is necessary to know the company structure, the nature of business and board of directors. The risk would be lower once you truly understand the company that you are going to buy.

3) Never play contra/margin - buy shares with your own money.

4) Call warrants are EVIL - the lifespan of call warrants is normally very short, around 1-2 years. Unlike ordinary shares, the longer you hold a call warrant, the higher the risk would be. This is because call warrants might become worthless (which means you lose everything, you get zero return) if it is out-of-money upon matured. Try to avoid buying call warrants unless it is really attractive with close-to-zero or negative premium, and still far from maturity.

5) Strong holding power - hold with patience onto good/undervalued shares with to enjoy greater profit. Keep an eye on the quarterly financial reports to ensure earning is on track and business is still profitable. There were several times I was too impatient to take small profit from very good and solid shares like HSL and KFIMA to blame myself for stupidity after seeing the price kept going up. Should I have hold longer, I would have enjoyed greater profit and decent dividend.

6) Do not put all eggs in one basket - diversify investment in several stocks in different sectors.

7) Be humble and learn from people who are more experienced and knowledgeable in share market.

8) Keep myself updated with financial news and with whats happening in the world.